Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical model consensus indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei on August 6 will likely reach 34–36 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, with limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32–33 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly elevated values before potential outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin arrives later in the week. Trader positioning at 35 °C (51.5 %) and 36 °C (30.5 %) reflects this near-term guidance, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or below incorporate uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized convection that could suppress maxima. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. August?
35°C 51%
36°C 29%
34°C 15%
33°C 5%
NEU
$13,870 Vol.
NEU
$13,870 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
51%
36°C
29%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 51%
36°C 29%
34°C 15%
33°C 5%
NEU
$13,870 Vol.
NEU
$13,870 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,287 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,264 Vol.
1%
33°C
$801 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,272 Vol.
15%
35°C
$2,864 Vol.
51%
36°C
$3,302 Vol.
29%
37°C
$723 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$531 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical model consensus indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei on August 6 will likely reach 34–36 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, with limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32–33 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly elevated values before potential outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin arrives later in the week. Trader positioning at 35 °C (51.5 %) and 36 °C (30.5 %) reflects this near-term guidance, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or below incorporate uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized convection that could suppress maxima. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$13,870Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical model consensus indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei on August 6 will likely reach 34–36 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, with limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32–33 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly elevated values before potential outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin arrives later in the week. Trader positioning at 35 °C (51.5 %) and 36 °C (30.5 %) reflects this near-term guidance, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or below incorporate uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized convection that could suppress maxima. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,870Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical model consensus indicate peak daytime temperatures in Taipei on August 6 will likely reach 34–36 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, with limited afternoon thunderstorm cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging near 32–33 °C, yet current conditions favor slightly elevated values before potential outer-band moisture from Typhoon Dolphin arrives later in the week. Trader positioning at 35 °C (51.5 %) and 36 °C (30.5 %) reflects this near-term guidance, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or below incorporate uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized convection that could suppress maxima. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen