Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts for August 6 project a daily maximum of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon. These conditions, combined with urban heat retention and variable afternoon convection that can cap peak readings, explain the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C. Longer-term warming trends and above-normal seasonal outlooks support the slight edge for 33°C, while any increase in cloud cover or showers could shift the outcome toward 32°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and regional model runs for adjustments to steering patterns or instability before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 6. August?
33°C 37%
32°C 37%
34°C 19%
35°C 6%
$39,042 Vol.
$39,042 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
37%
33°C
37%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 37%
34°C 19%
35°C 6%
$39,042 Vol.
$39,042 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
37%
33°C
37%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model forecasts for August 6 project a daily maximum of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of the summer monsoon. These conditions, combined with urban heat retention and variable afternoon convection that can cap peak readings, explain the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C. Longer-term warming trends and above-normal seasonal outlooks support the slight edge for 33°C, while any increase in cloud cover or showers could shift the outcome toward 32°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and regional model runs for adjustments to steering patterns or instability before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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