Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including widespread KMA severe alerts and recent Incheon station maxima of 32–34°C, underpin the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for a 34°C peak on August 5. Short-range models indicate clear skies and light winds that typically support afternoon highs in the mid-30s, consistent with the prior day's confirmed reading and seasonal El Niño-enhanced warmth. Official KMA guidance and any final model runs before noon KST resolution remain key variables. Unanticipated afternoon cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns could lower the observed maximum below this threshold, though current consensus limits that likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 5. August?
34°C 97%
35°C 3%
37°C oder höher <1%
36°C <1%
$82,349 Vol.
$82,349 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
97%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
34°C 97%
35°C 3%
37°C oder höher <1%
36°C <1%
$82,349 Vol.
$82,349 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$765 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,520 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,863 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,897 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11,403 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$13,110 Vol.
97%
35°C
$15,765 Vol.
3%
36°C
$12,784 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder höher
$8,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including widespread KMA severe alerts and recent Incheon station maxima of 32–34°C, underpin the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for a 34°C peak on August 5. Short-range models indicate clear skies and light winds that typically support afternoon highs in the mid-30s, consistent with the prior day's confirmed reading and seasonal El Niño-enhanced warmth. Official KMA guidance and any final model runs before noon KST resolution remain key variables. Unanticipated afternoon cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns could lower the observed maximum below this threshold, though current consensus limits that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$82,349Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including widespread KMA severe alerts and recent Incheon station maxima of 32–34°C, underpin the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for a 34°C peak on August 5. Short-range models indicate clear skies and light winds that typically support afternoon highs in the mid-30s, consistent with the prior day's confirmed reading and seasonal El Niño-enhanced warmth. Official KMA guidance and any final model runs before noon KST resolution remain key variables. Unanticipated afternoon cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns could lower the observed maximum below this threshold, though current consensus limits that likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$82,349Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including widespread KMA severe alerts and recent Incheon station maxima of 32–34°C, underpin the market's strong 96.5% implied probability for a 34°C peak on August 5. Short-range models indicate clear skies and light winds that typically support afternoon highs in the mid-30s, consistent with the prior day's confirmed reading and seasonal El Niño-enhanced warmth. Official KMA guidance and any final model runs before noon KST resolution remain key variables. Unanticipated afternoon cloud cover, localized precipitation, or shifts in steering patterns could lower the observed maximum below this threshold, though current consensus limits that likelihood.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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