Latest official forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich’s daily maximum temperature on August 5 near 32–34 °C, keeping the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1 °C at the official monitoring station. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum insolation, while climatological context indicates early-August highs rarely exceed 30 °C without strong high-pressure persistence. Traders are closely watching any final model runs or real-time station data for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 5. August?
33°C 49%
34°C 39%
35°C 11%
32°C 6%
$56,496 Vol.
$56,496 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
49%
34°C
39%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 49%
34°C 39%
35°C 11%
32°C 6%
$56,496 Vol.
$56,496 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
6%
33°C
49%
34°C
39%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich’s daily maximum temperature on August 5 near 32–34 °C, keeping the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader sentiment. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1 °C at the official monitoring station. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum insolation, while climatological context indicates early-August highs rarely exceed 30 °C without strong high-pressure persistence. Traders are closely watching any final model runs or real-time station data for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen