Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 4. August?
72-73°F 97%
74-75°F 3%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,564 Vol.
$43,564 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
67°F oder weniger
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
97%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
72-73°F 97%
74-75°F 3%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,564 Vol.
$43,564 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
67°F oder weniger
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,952 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$8,064 Vol.
97%
74-75°F
$3,397 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$3,365 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,660 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,267 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,037 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,417 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$2,319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$43,564Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,564Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 75°F under sunny conditions with west-southwest winds, consistent with the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 72-73°F peak. This positioning reflects San Francisco's characteristic marine influence, where coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and the persistent summer marine layer moderate temperatures well below inland norms, aligning with August climatology of highs typically between 65-73°F. Trader consensus incorporates real-time model runs showing limited warming potential today. A stronger offshore flow or delayed marine layer could push readings into the mid-70s, while earlier fog or stronger onshore winds would cap them lower; official KSFO observations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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