Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate moderating conditions after early August heat, with Amsterdam's August 6 maximum most likely settling near 20–22°C due to increased cloud cover, a shift toward northerly flow, and North Sea influence limiting daytime warming. Official observations show a peak of 31.7°C on August 3 followed by gradual cooling, consistent with typical post-heatwave patterns in the region where marine air advection caps temperatures below seasonal extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities aligns closely with these short-range guidance runs, which carry lower uncertainty this close to the event, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust the outcome within the narrow 20–22°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 6. August?
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
NEU
$19,101 Vol.
NEU
$19,101 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
NEU
$19,101 Vol.
NEU
$19,101 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
17°C oder darunter
$859 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,538 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,773 Vol.
4%
20°C
$3,804 Vol.
22%
21°C
$2,103 Vol.
42%
22°C
$3,471 Vol.
31%
23°C
$1,520 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,252 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate moderating conditions after early August heat, with Amsterdam's August 6 maximum most likely settling near 20–22°C due to increased cloud cover, a shift toward northerly flow, and North Sea influence limiting daytime warming. Official observations show a peak of 31.7°C on August 3 followed by gradual cooling, consistent with typical post-heatwave patterns in the region where marine air advection caps temperatures below seasonal extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities aligns closely with these short-range guidance runs, which carry lower uncertainty this close to the event, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust the outcome within the narrow 20–22°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$19,101Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate moderating conditions after early August heat, with Amsterdam's August 6 maximum most likely settling near 20–22°C due to increased cloud cover, a shift toward northerly flow, and North Sea influence limiting daytime warming. Official observations show a peak of 31.7°C on August 3 followed by gradual cooling, consistent with typical post-heatwave patterns in the region where marine air advection caps temperatures below seasonal extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities aligns closely with these short-range guidance runs, which carry lower uncertainty this close to the event, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust the outcome within the narrow 20–22°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,101Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate moderating conditions after early August heat, with Amsterdam's August 6 maximum most likely settling near 20–22°C due to increased cloud cover, a shift toward northerly flow, and North Sea influence limiting daytime warming. Official observations show a peak of 31.7°C on August 3 followed by gradual cooling, consistent with typical post-heatwave patterns in the region where marine air advection caps temperatures below seasonal extremes. Trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities aligns closely with these short-range guidance runs, which carry lower uncertainty this close to the event, though minor shifts in frontal timing could still adjust the outcome within the narrow 20–22°C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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