Latest European model consensus, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a 25 °C daily maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a recent heatwave. This positions 25 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, with nearby 24 °C and 26 °C options reflecting 1–2 °C uncertainty from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects captured in official observations. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, yet the tight clustering around these values stems from minimal model divergence in short-range forecasts ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 5. August?
25°C 52%
26°C 22%
24°C 20%
23°C 3.4%
$35,941 Vol.
$35,941 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
52%
26°C
22%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 22%
24°C 20%
23°C 3.4%
$35,941 Vol.
$35,941 Vol.
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
20%
25°C
52%
26°C
22%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model consensus, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a 25 °C daily maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a recent heatwave. This positions 25 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, with nearby 24 °C and 26 °C options reflecting 1–2 °C uncertainty from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects captured in official observations. Historical August averages near 21–22 °C provide context, yet the tight clustering around these values stems from minimal model divergence in short-range forecasts ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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