Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 5. August?
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
15°C 9%
$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
32%
17°C
35%
18°C
18%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 35%
16°C 32%
18°C 18%
15°C 9%
$20,258 Vol.
$20,258 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$957 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,502 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,706 Vol.
2%
15°C
$730 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,655 Vol.
32%
17°C
$862 Vol.
35%
18°C
$927 Vol.
18%
19°C
$1,477 Vol.
5%
20°C
$1,244 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,027 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$5,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$20,258Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,258Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest SAWS and global model guidance indicate fine to partly cloudy conditions over Cape Town on August 5 with isolated showers possible, producing market-implied odds clustered tightly around 16–18 °C. The modest spread reflects uncertainty in maximum temperature driven by variable southeasterly wind strength, which advects cooler marine air and modulates daytime warming, alongside evolving cloud cover that alters shortwave radiation receipt. Recent model runs show small differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature anomalies relative to the seasonal 17 °C climatological baseline, keeping outcomes below 19 °C highly improbable while sustaining tight probabilities between the leading bins. Updated forecasts and surface observations through the afternoon will refine these estimates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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