Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on sunny skies and light northerly winds allowing daytime highs in Seattle to reach the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5, driven by a warm air mass and strong solar heating under clear conditions. This positions 86–87°F as the leading market outcome at 42% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 27%, consistent with current observations showing temperatures already climbing above the early-August average of 79°F. A lingering heat dome and above-normal seasonal outlook further support elevated readings, though marine influence or any late-day cloud cover could cap the peak near 85°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs heavily, with limited downside risk below 84°F given the established warming trend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 5. August?
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 5.3%
NEU
$36,307 Vol.
NEU
$36,307 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
27%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 27%
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 5.3%
NEU
$36,307 Vol.
NEU
$36,307 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
79°F or below
$7,134 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$10,169 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$3,630 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$1,911 Vol.
20%
86-87°F
$2,604 Vol.
42%
88-89°F
$5,468 Vol.
27%
90-91°F
$2,393 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$1,000 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$423 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$895 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on sunny skies and light northerly winds allowing daytime highs in Seattle to reach the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5, driven by a warm air mass and strong solar heating under clear conditions. This positions 86–87°F as the leading market outcome at 42% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 27%, consistent with current observations showing temperatures already climbing above the early-August average of 79°F. A lingering heat dome and above-normal seasonal outlook further support elevated readings, though marine influence or any late-day cloud cover could cap the peak near 85°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs heavily, with limited downside risk below 84°F given the established warming trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$36,307Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on sunny skies and light northerly winds allowing daytime highs in Seattle to reach the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5, driven by a warm air mass and strong solar heating under clear conditions. This positions 86–87°F as the leading market outcome at 42% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 27%, consistent with current observations showing temperatures already climbing above the early-August average of 79°F. A lingering heat dome and above-normal seasonal outlook further support elevated readings, though marine influence or any late-day cloud cover could cap the peak near 85°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs heavily, with limited downside risk below 84°F given the established warming trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,307Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on sunny skies and light northerly winds allowing daytime highs in Seattle to reach the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5, driven by a warm air mass and strong solar heating under clear conditions. This positions 86–87°F as the leading market outcome at 42% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F at 27%, consistent with current observations showing temperatures already climbing above the early-August average of 79°F. A lingering heat dome and above-normal seasonal outlook further support elevated readings, though marine influence or any late-day cloud cover could cap the peak near 85°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs heavily, with limited downside risk below 84°F given the established warming trend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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