Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 7. August?
14°C 27%
15°C 25%
17°C 14%
13°C 14%
10°C oder niedriger
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
2%
14°C 27%
15°C 25%
17°C 14%
13°C 14%
10°C oder niedriger
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
14%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of around 14°C in London on August 7 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 14–15°C. Clearer nocturnal conditions would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end near 13°C, while increased cloud cover or a milder Atlantic air mass would limit overnight heat loss and support 15–16°C readings. London’s urban heat island further buffers extremes compared with rural sites. With the forecast window closing rapidly, the next model runs incorporating updated pressure patterns and cloud trends will likely sharpen trader positioning on these narrow thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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