Recent Met Office and AccuWeather forecasts for London on August 5, 2026, show a daytime high near 25°C under sunny intervals following a warm early-August spell, with overnight lows expected around 14–17°C. Trader consensus favoring an 18°C or 19°C minimum reflects model spreads on cloud cover, light winds, and the urban heat-island effect that often elevates city readings above rural baselines. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 13°C, but current steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling support the market’s higher implied probabilities. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings this morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift odds between these two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 5. August?
18°C 45%
19°C 42%
17°C 1.1%
15°C <1%
$36,995 Vol.
$36,995 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
50%
19°C
42%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
19°C 42%
17°C 1.1%
15°C <1%
$36,995 Vol.
$36,995 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
50%
19°C
42%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and AccuWeather forecasts for London on August 5, 2026, show a daytime high near 25°C under sunny intervals following a warm early-August spell, with overnight lows expected around 14–17°C. Trader consensus favoring an 18°C or 19°C minimum reflects model spreads on cloud cover, light winds, and the urban heat-island effect that often elevates city readings above rural baselines. Historical August climatology places average overnight lows near 13°C, but current steering patterns and limited nocturnal cooling support the market’s higher implied probabilities. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings this morning remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift odds between these two leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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