Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen's August 5 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds of 54% and 35.5% reflecting trader consensus on official measurements. Typical subtropical summer patterns in Guangdong feature average highs near 32°C, but today's guidance points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers that should cap afternoon heating below peak seasonal potential. These conditions align with the 30-year climatological baseline for early August, where humidity often exceeds 80% and limits extreme values. Updated model runs show limited variability, though any clearing could nudge readings toward 33°C before resolution criteria are met later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 5. August?
33°C 50%
32°C 43%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
$80,652 Vol.
$80,652 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
43%
33°C
50%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 50%
32°C 43%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
$80,652 Vol.
$80,652 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
43%
33°C
50%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 32°C and 33°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen's August 5 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds of 54% and 35.5% reflecting trader consensus on official measurements. Typical subtropical summer patterns in Guangdong feature average highs near 32°C, but today's guidance points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers that should cap afternoon heating below peak seasonal potential. These conditions align with the 30-year climatological baseline for early August, where humidity often exceeds 80% and limits extreme values. Updated model runs show limited variability, though any clearing could nudge readings toward 33°C before resolution criteria are met later today.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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