Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a daily minimum near 27°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and mostly sunny to cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–28°C amid neutral ENSO conditions and long-term warming trends, with current observations showing morning temperatures already near 27–29°C. Model consensus reinforces this baseline, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 96.5% implied probability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, showers, or an unforecast trough could realistically depress the minimum toward 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and limited convective potential in latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. August?
27°C 97%
26°C 5%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,570 Vol.
$37,570 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
97%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 97%
26°C 5%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
$37,570 Vol.
$37,570 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$541 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$924 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,551 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,913 Vol.
1%
26°C
$6,692 Vol.
5%
27°C
$7,421 Vol.
97%
28°C
$7,037 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$1,596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a daily minimum near 27°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and mostly sunny to cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–28°C amid neutral ENSO conditions and long-term warming trends, with current observations showing morning temperatures already near 27–29°C. Model consensus reinforces this baseline, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 96.5% implied probability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, showers, or an unforecast trough could realistically depress the minimum toward 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and limited convective potential in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$37,570Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a daily minimum near 27°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and mostly sunny to cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–28°C amid neutral ENSO conditions and long-term warming trends, with current observations showing morning temperatures already near 27–29°C. Model consensus reinforces this baseline, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 96.5% implied probability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, showers, or an unforecast trough could realistically depress the minimum toward 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and limited convective potential in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,570Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 5, 2026, project a daily minimum near 27°C under subtropical high pressure, light winds, and mostly sunny to cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. This aligns with August climatology, where typical overnight lows range 26–28°C amid neutral ENSO conditions and long-term warming trends, with current observations showing morning temperatures already near 27–29°C. Model consensus reinforces this baseline, giving traders high confidence in the 27°C outcome at 96.5% implied probability. A sudden increase in cloud cover, showers, or an unforecast trough could realistically depress the minimum toward 26°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and limited convective potential in latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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