Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 6. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 6. August?
27°C 60%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
25°C 2%
NEU
$18,991 Vol.
NEU
$18,991 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
60%
28°C
27%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 27%
26°C 14%
25°C 2%
NEU
$18,991 Vol.
NEU
$18,991 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$381 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,866 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,669 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,550 Vol.
14%
27°C
$2,657 Vol.
60%
28°C
$3,321 Vol.
27%
29°C
$4,260 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$18,991Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,991Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for August 6, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 56.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and regional sea surface temperatures around 29°C limit overnight radiative cooling under typical subtropical summer conditions. Recent model consensus shows stable steering patterns with minimal frontal influence or typhoon activity expected overnight, keeping lows near the seasonal average rather than dipping toward 26°C or below. Traders appear to weigh the latest HKO guidance and ensemble runs heavily, as resolution will hinge on the agency's verified 24-hour minimum reading at its reference station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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