Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F (54.5%) and 100–101°F (36.5%) outcomes. Early August climatology shows average daily highs of 97–98°F, with recent observations and model runs indicating typical summertime conditions without strong high-pressure ridging or Gulf moisture surges that would push readings notably higher or lower. Minor cloud cover or isolated showers could cap the peak, while clear skies and light winds would support the upper end of the range. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 5. August?
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 5.2%
$10,470 Vol.
$10,470 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 6%
102-103°F 5.2%
$10,470 Vol.
$10,470 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models project a high near 98–100°F for Austin on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F (54.5%) and 100–101°F (36.5%) outcomes. Early August climatology shows average daily highs of 97–98°F, with recent observations and model runs indicating typical summertime conditions without strong high-pressure ridging or Gulf moisture surges that would push readings notably higher or lower. Minor cloud cover or isolated showers could cap the peak, while clear skies and light winds would support the upper end of the range. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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