Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 project a daily maximum of 90–91°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with August climatological normals of 91°F at Miami International Airport. High humidity and sea-breeze convergence are expected to cap peak heating near this range despite abundant solar radiation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90–91°F bin reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. A stronger or earlier convective outbreak could suppress readings below 90°F, while delayed storm development or clearer conditions might allow brief spikes to 92°F or higher, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the current steering pattern and moisture profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 4. August?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F oder weniger <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,608 Vol.
$48,608 Vol.
79°F oder weniger
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F oder weniger <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$48,608 Vol.
$48,608 Vol.
79°F oder weniger
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 project a daily maximum of 90–91°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with August climatological normals of 91°F at Miami International Airport. High humidity and sea-breeze convergence are expected to cap peak heating near this range despite abundant solar radiation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 90–91°F bin reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. A stronger or earlier convective outbreak could suppress readings below 90°F, while delayed storm development or clearer conditions might allow brief spikes to 92°F or higher, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the current steering pattern and moisture profile.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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