Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 6. August?
40°C 41%
41°C 23%
42°C oder höher 19%
39°C 16%
32°C oder niedriger
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
16%
40°C
41%
41°C
23%
42°C oder höher
19%
40°C 41%
41°C 23%
42°C oder höher 19%
39°C 16%
32°C oder niedriger
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
6%
39°C
16%
40°C
41%
41°C
23%
42°C oder höher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicate typical August conditions for Jeddah, with daytime highs near 36–38°C driven by intense solar radiation, high humidity from the Red Sea, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This baseline supports trader emphasis on the 40°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, reflecting allowance for short-term variability from wind patterns or localized heating that can push peaks 2–3°C above averages. Recent observations show stable summer heat without extreme anomalies, though model spreads and historical August maxima above 40°C introduce uncertainty favoring 41°C or higher at 17%. Updated National Center for Meteorology guidance and next-day satellite data could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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