Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Panama City on August 6, with those outcomes capturing over 70% of market-implied probability amid tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by typical August convective patterns, where afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Ongoing strong El Niño conditions contribute to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the region, elevating the baseline above the long-term 29–30°C August mean while limiting upside risk from extreme heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological services, with traders weighing latest ensemble runs against historical analogs for similar ENSO phases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 6. August?
31°C 38%
30°C 34%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
38%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C oder höher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 34%
29°C 18%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$38 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$34 Vol.
1%
27°C
$60 Vol.
3%
28°C
$54 Vol.
5%
29°C
$31 Vol.
18%
30°C
$34 Vol.
34%
31°C
$24 Vol.
38%
32°C
$6 Vol.
7%
33°C
$11 Vol.
3%
34°C
$61 Vol.
1%
35°C oder höher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Panama City on August 6, with those outcomes capturing over 70% of market-implied probability amid tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by typical August convective patterns, where afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Ongoing strong El Niño conditions contribute to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the region, elevating the baseline above the long-term 29–30°C August mean while limiting upside risk from extreme heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological services, with traders weighing latest ensemble runs against historical analogs for similar ENSO phases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$369Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Panama City on August 6, with those outcomes capturing over 70% of market-implied probability amid tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by typical August convective patterns, where afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Ongoing strong El Niño conditions contribute to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the region, elevating the baseline above the long-term 29–30°C August mean while limiting upside risk from extreme heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological services, with traders weighing latest ensemble runs against historical analogs for similar ENSO phases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$369Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 30–31°C high in Panama City on August 6, with those outcomes capturing over 70% of market-implied probability amid tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by typical August convective patterns, where afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Ongoing strong El Niño conditions contribute to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall across the region, elevating the baseline above the long-term 29–30°C August mean while limiting upside risk from extreme heating. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by local meteorological services, with traders weighing latest ensemble runs against historical analogs for similar ENSO phases.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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