Traders assign near-certainty to the 33°C outcome for Panama City’s August 4 maximum because official National Weather Service observations from the Panama City NW station recorded a peak of 87°F (approximately 30.6°C). This aligns with typical August patterns in the Florida Panhandle, where subtropical moisture, light winds, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies produce highs centered near 88–90°F. Model consensus and post-event verification supported the bin without deviation. Scenarios that could realistically challenge resolution include revised station data, instrument calibration adjustments, or a shift in the precise geographic boundary used for market settlement, though such changes are unlikely after the observation window closed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 4. August?
33°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 Vol.
$29,336 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
27°C oder weniger <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 Vol.
$29,336 Vol.
27°C oder weniger
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign near-certainty to the 33°C outcome for Panama City’s August 4 maximum because official National Weather Service observations from the Panama City NW station recorded a peak of 87°F (approximately 30.6°C). This aligns with typical August patterns in the Florida Panhandle, where subtropical moisture, light winds, and diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies produce highs centered near 88–90°F. Model consensus and post-event verification supported the bin without deviation. Scenarios that could realistically challenge resolution include revised station data, instrument calibration adjustments, or a shift in the precise geographic boundary used for market settlement, though such changes are unlikely after the observation window closed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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