Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 8. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 8. August?
27°C 45%
25°C 34%
28°C 9%
30°C 9%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
9%
25°C
34%
26°C
50%
27°C
45%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C oder höher
7%
27°C 45%
25°C 34%
28°C 9%
30°C 9%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
4%
22°C
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$2 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$10 Vol.
9%
31°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$42Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 8 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range amid persistent summer high pressure and elevated seasonal baselines, with urban heat island effects limiting overnight cooling. Recent ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability through the short-range period, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 26°C and 27°C. Historical August lows average near 24–25°C, but above-normal warmth this season has shifted trader focus toward the upper end of typical nighttime ranges, while model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or sea breezes introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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