Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models, including inputs aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Karachi on August 8 as the most probable outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture and increased cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, keeping maximums near the long-term August average of approximately 33 °C while limiting extreme excursions. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 34 °C if breaks in cloudiness allow greater insolation; probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C or below 32 °C given these conditions. Traders’ implied odds align closely with this model consensus, reflecting the narrow range of expected variability just 24 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 8. August?
33°C 54%
34°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 3%
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
54%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 54%
34°C 35%
32°C 11%
35°C 3%
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
54%
34°C
35%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from regional and global models, including inputs aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks, points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Karachi on August 8 as the most probable outcome. Persistent monsoon moisture and increased cloud cover are moderating daytime heating, keeping maximums near the long-term August average of approximately 33 °C while limiting extreme excursions. Current ensemble runs show limited spread, with only modest potential for 34 °C if breaks in cloudiness allow greater insolation; probabilities drop sharply above 35 °C or below 32 °C given these conditions. Traders’ implied odds align closely with this model consensus, reflecting the narrow range of expected variability just 24 hours before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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