Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on August 9 hovering near 27–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 42% and 37%. This stems from persistent high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating, tempered by moderate northerly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts show minor spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with historical August climatology indicating typical highs of 28–30°C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 9. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 9. August?
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
42%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 37%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$12 Vol.
2%
25°C
$25 Vol.
5%
26°C
$8 Vol.
13%
27°C
$971 Vol.
42%
28°C
$12 Vol.
37%
29°C
$11 Vol.
9%
30°C
$11 Vol.
2%
31°C
$26 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C oder höher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on August 9 hovering near 27–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 42% and 37%. This stems from persistent high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating, tempered by moderate northerly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts show minor spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with historical August climatology indicating typical highs of 28–30°C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,120Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on August 9 hovering near 27–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 42% and 37%. This stems from persistent high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating, tempered by moderate northerly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts show minor spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with historical August climatology indicating typical highs of 28–30°C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,120Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on August 9 hovering near 27–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 42% and 37%. This stems from persistent high-pressure dominance suppressing cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating, tempered by moderate northerly winds advecting slightly cooler maritime air from the Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts show minor spread due to uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, with historical August climatology indicating typical highs of 28–30°C. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the official daily maximum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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