Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's August 8 daily maximum, with 28°C and 29°C dominating implied probabilities near 47% and 46%. Regional high-pressure patterns and northeasterly flow typical of midsummer maintain stable conditions, but minor shifts in model runs—such as those from ECMWF or GFS—could alter peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the tight spread, while recent observed highs near 34°C highlight potential for localized spikes if subsidence strengthens. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 8. August?
29°C 51%
28°C 48%
30°C 25%
27°C 15%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
48%
29°C
51%
30°C
25%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C oder höher
3%
29°C 51%
28°C 48%
30°C 25%
27°C 15%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
51%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$14 Vol.
2%
32°C
$22 Vol.
1%
33°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's August 8 daily maximum, with 28°C and 29°C dominating implied probabilities near 47% and 46%. Regional high-pressure patterns and northeasterly flow typical of midsummer maintain stable conditions, but minor shifts in model runs—such as those from ECMWF or GFS—could alter peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the tight spread, while recent observed highs near 34°C highlight potential for localized spikes if subsidence strengthens. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$76Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's August 8 daily maximum, with 28°C and 29°C dominating implied probabilities near 47% and 46%. Regional high-pressure patterns and northeasterly flow typical of midsummer maintain stable conditions, but minor shifts in model runs—such as those from ECMWF or GFS—could alter peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the tight spread, while recent observed highs near 34°C highlight potential for localized spikes if subsidence strengthens. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$76Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's August 8 daily maximum, with 28°C and 29°C dominating implied probabilities near 47% and 46%. Regional high-pressure patterns and northeasterly flow typical of midsummer maintain stable conditions, but minor shifts in model runs—such as those from ECMWF or GFS—could alter peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover, humidity, and sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, providing context for the tight spread, while recent observed highs near 34°C highlight potential for localized spikes if subsidence strengthens. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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