Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a high of 23–25 °C in Warsaw on August 8 under moderating southerly flow and increasing cloud cover following the early-August heatwave. Ensemble runs show limited daytime heating as a weak front approaches, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance that currently favors 23 °C as the most likely peak. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm-air advection that could push readings one degree higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 8. August?
23°C 38%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
38%
24°C
29%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 38%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$7 Vol.
16%
23°C
$16 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$8 Vol.
2%
27°C
$27 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a high of 23–25 °C in Warsaw on August 8 under moderating southerly flow and increasing cloud cover following the early-August heatwave. Ensemble runs show limited daytime heating as a weak front approaches, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance that currently favors 23 °C as the most likely peak. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm-air advection that could push readings one degree higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$89Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a high of 23–25 °C in Warsaw on August 8 under moderating southerly flow and increasing cloud cover following the early-August heatwave. Ensemble runs show limited daytime heating as a weak front approaches, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance that currently favors 23 °C as the most likely peak. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm-air advection that could push readings one degree higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$89Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a high of 23–25 °C in Warsaw on August 8 under moderating southerly flow and increasing cloud cover following the early-August heatwave. Ensemble runs show limited daytime heating as a weak front approaches, keeping maxima near or slightly below seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic guidance that currently favors 23 °C as the most likely peak. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud timing and any residual warm-air advection that could push readings one degree higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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