Latest forecast guidance from sources like World Weather indicates a Denver high near 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 43% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August conditions in the Front Range, where average highs hover around 88-90°F but recent model runs show modest cooling from July's extreme heat, including multiple 100°F+ days. Key factors include a shifting ridge pattern, potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal influence reducing peak solar heating, and standard diurnal ranges driven by elevation and dry air. Traders appear to weigh these against historical August variability, where highs rarely exceed 95°F this early in the month, positioning 84-89°F outcomes as the dominant cluster while leaving room for last-minute model shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Denver am 5. August?
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 6.0%
NEU
$30,406 Vol.
NEU
$30,406 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
75°F oder weniger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder mehr
<1%
86-87°F 43%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 6.0%
NEU
$30,406 Vol.
NEU
$30,406 Vol.
5. Aug. 2026
75°F oder weniger
$528 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,751 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,424 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,544 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$3,243 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$4,669 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$5,813 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$3,395 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$2,332 Vol.
<1%
94°F oder mehr
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from sources like World Weather indicates a Denver high near 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 43% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August conditions in the Front Range, where average highs hover around 88-90°F but recent model runs show modest cooling from July's extreme heat, including multiple 100°F+ days. Key factors include a shifting ridge pattern, potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal influence reducing peak solar heating, and standard diurnal ranges driven by elevation and dry air. Traders appear to weigh these against historical August variability, where highs rarely exceed 95°F this early in the month, positioning 84-89°F outcomes as the dominant cluster while leaving room for last-minute model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$30,406Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from sources like World Weather indicates a Denver high near 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 43% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August conditions in the Front Range, where average highs hover around 88-90°F but recent model runs show modest cooling from July's extreme heat, including multiple 100°F+ days. Key factors include a shifting ridge pattern, potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal influence reducing peak solar heating, and standard diurnal ranges driven by elevation and dry air. Traders appear to weigh these against historical August variability, where highs rarely exceed 95°F this early in the month, positioning 84-89°F outcomes as the dominant cluster while leaving room for last-minute model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30,406Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from sources like World Weather indicates a Denver high near 86°F on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 86-87°F bin at 43% implied probability. This reflects typical early-August conditions in the Front Range, where average highs hover around 88-90°F but recent model runs show modest cooling from July's extreme heat, including multiple 100°F+ days. Key factors include a shifting ridge pattern, potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal influence reducing peak solar heating, and standard diurnal ranges driven by elevation and dry air. Traders appear to weigh these against historical August variability, where highs rarely exceed 95°F this early in the month, positioning 84-89°F outcomes as the dominant cluster while leaving room for last-minute model shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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