Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 5. August?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
$25,727 Vol.
$25,727 Vol.
75°F oder niedriger
<1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
8%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 23%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 7.5%
$25,727 Vol.
$25,727 Vol.
75°F oder niedriger
<1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
8%
30-31°C
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 5, 2026, point to a daily high in the low 80s as the main driver of trader consensus around 80-81°F. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with variable southwesterly winds and partial cloud cover, creates the observed spread across 78-83°F bins while suppressing odds for extremes above 86°F or below 76°F. Historical August normals near 84°F provide context, yet current model runs show modest cooling from recent haze and lighter winds. Key resolution factors include official readings at Midway or O'Hare stations, with any late-day lake breeze or unexpected clearing able to shift the peak by a degree or two before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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