Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 6. August?
36°C 33%
37°C 28%
38°C oder höher 19%
35°C 17%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
33%
37°C
28%
38°C oder höher
19%
36°C 33%
37°C 28%
38°C oder höher 19%
35°C 17%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$267 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$582 Vol.
1%
33°C
$275 Vol.
1%
34°C
$643 Vol.
6%
35°C
$627 Vol.
17%
36°C
$632 Vol.
33%
37°C
$1,178 Vol.
28%
38°C oder höher
$632 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$4,767Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,767Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models point to peak daytime heating in Qingdao driven by a strengthening subtropical high, southerly flow of warm, moist air, and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation on August 6. These conditions support market-implied odds clustering around 35–37 °C, with 36 °C slightly favored as the consensus maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect modest variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and wind speeds that could trim or enhance the afternoon high by 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide context, yet current atmospheric setup favors above-normal readings. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the precise daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen