**Trader consensus centers on 13–16°C minima for Paris on August 8, 2026, with 14°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and others showing overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies.** After early-August heatwave conditions with suppressed radiative cooling and minima often above 18–20°C, a shift toward more typical summer air masses and modest nocturnal heat loss supports cooler readings. Key drivers include surface radiative cooling rates under limited cloud cover, light winds reducing mixing, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes in central Paris. Recent forecast updates emphasize stabilization around these thresholds, with low odds on 12°C or below due to residual warmth and minimal precipitation signals. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 8. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 8. August?
14°C 47%
15°C 24%
13°C 20%
16°C 13%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
20%
14°C
47%
15°C
24%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 47%
15°C 24%
13°C 20%
16°C 13%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$43 Vol.
2%
12°C
$81 Vol.
2%
13°C
$308 Vol.
20%
14°C
$861 Vol.
47%
15°C
$398 Vol.
24%
16°C
$207 Vol.
13%
17°C
$107 Vol.
2%
18°C
$298 Vol.
1%
19°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 13–16°C minima for Paris on August 8, 2026, with 14°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and others showing overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies.**
After early-August heatwave conditions with suppressed radiative cooling and minima often above 18–20°C, a shift toward more typical summer air masses and modest nocturnal heat loss supports cooler readings. Key drivers include surface radiative cooling rates under limited cloud cover, light winds reducing mixing, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes in central Paris. Recent forecast updates emphasize stabilization around these thresholds, with low odds on 12°C or below due to residual warmth and minimal precipitation signals. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,769Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 13–16°C minima for Paris on August 8, 2026, with 14°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and others showing overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies.**
After early-August heatwave conditions with suppressed radiative cooling and minima often above 18–20°C, a shift toward more typical summer air masses and modest nocturnal heat loss supports cooler readings. Key drivers include surface radiative cooling rates under limited cloud cover, light winds reducing mixing, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes in central Paris. Recent forecast updates emphasize stabilization around these thresholds, with low odds on 12°C or below due to residual warmth and minimal precipitation signals. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,769Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 13–16°C minima for Paris on August 8, 2026, with 14°C leading at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting ensemble model guidance from Météo-France and others showing overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies.** After early-August heatwave conditions with suppressed radiative cooling and minima often above 18–20°C, a shift toward more typical summer air masses and modest nocturnal heat loss supports cooler readings. Key drivers include surface radiative cooling rates under limited cloud cover, light winds reducing mixing, and the urban heat island effect moderating extremes in central Paris. Recent forecast updates emphasize stabilization around these thresholds, with low odds on 12°C or below due to residual warmth and minimal precipitation signals. Upcoming model runs and official bulletins will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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