Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a tightening range around 35–37°C highs on August 8, with model consensus split on whether subtropical high pressure will allow full solar heating or if scattered monsoon moisture and urban heat-island moderation will cap peaks. Differentiating outcomes hinge on boundary-layer humidity, which amplifies or suppresses maximum readings, and any late-day convective development tied to regional sea-breeze convergence. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C under clear, subsiding air; current ensemble spreads reflect sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow and cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weight the latest NMC and ECMWF runs most heavily ahead of the next model cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 8. August?
36°C 32%
37°C 27%
35°C 25%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
30°C oder niedriger
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
27%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 32%
37°C 27%
35°C 25%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
30°C oder niedriger
$69 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$24 Vol.
1%
32°C
$117 Vol.
2%
33°C
$54 Vol.
7%
34°C
$65 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$68 Vol.
32%
37°C
$71 Vol.
27%
38°C
$184 Vol.
5%
39°C
$17 Vol.
1%
40°C oder höher
$897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a tightening range around 35–37°C highs on August 8, with model consensus split on whether subtropical high pressure will allow full solar heating or if scattered monsoon moisture and urban heat-island moderation will cap peaks. Differentiating outcomes hinge on boundary-layer humidity, which amplifies or suppresses maximum readings, and any late-day convective development tied to regional sea-breeze convergence. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C under clear, subsiding air; current ensemble spreads reflect sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow and cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weight the latest NMC and ECMWF runs most heavily ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,565Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a tightening range around 35–37°C highs on August 8, with model consensus split on whether subtropical high pressure will allow full solar heating or if scattered monsoon moisture and urban heat-island moderation will cap peaks. Differentiating outcomes hinge on boundary-layer humidity, which amplifies or suppresses maximum readings, and any late-day convective development tied to regional sea-breeze convergence. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C under clear, subsiding air; current ensemble spreads reflect sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow and cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weight the latest NMC and ECMWF runs most heavily ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,565Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a tightening range around 35–37°C highs on August 8, with model consensus split on whether subtropical high pressure will allow full solar heating or if scattered monsoon moisture and urban heat-island moderation will cap peaks. Differentiating outcomes hinge on boundary-layer humidity, which amplifies or suppresses maximum readings, and any late-day convective development tied to regional sea-breeze convergence. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C under clear, subsiding air; current ensemble spreads reflect sensitivity to small shifts in steering flow and cloud cover timing. Traders appear to weight the latest NMC and ECMWF runs most heavily ahead of the next model cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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