Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts positions a 30–32°C daily maximum in Ankara on August 10 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering around these values. Stable high-pressure patterns over central Anatolia, combined with typical mid-August continental conditions featuring clear skies and light winds, support gradual warming without significant advection of cooler air or convective cooling. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 31°C for the period. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine any minor shifts from local heating or boundary-layer effects ahead of the market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 10. August?
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 5%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
24%
31°C
45%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
29°C 5%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$332 Vol.
1%
28°C
$32 Vol.
1%
29°C
$99 Vol.
5%
30°C
$81 Vol.
24%
31°C
$97 Vol.
45%
32°C
$257 Vol.
23%
33°C
$39 Vol.
4%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts positions a 30–32°C daily maximum in Ankara on August 10 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering around these values. Stable high-pressure patterns over central Anatolia, combined with typical mid-August continental conditions featuring clear skies and light winds, support gradual warming without significant advection of cooler air or convective cooling. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 31°C for the period. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine any minor shifts from local heating or boundary-layer effects ahead of the market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,562Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts positions a 30–32°C daily maximum in Ankara on August 10 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering around these values. Stable high-pressure patterns over central Anatolia, combined with typical mid-August continental conditions featuring clear skies and light winds, support gradual warming without significant advection of cooler air or convective cooling. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 31°C for the period. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine any minor shifts from local heating or boundary-layer effects ahead of the market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,562Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts positions a 30–32°C daily maximum in Ankara on August 10 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering around these values. Stable high-pressure patterns over central Anatolia, combined with typical mid-August continental conditions featuring clear skies and light winds, support gradual warming without significant advection of cooler air or convective cooling. Current observations show daytime highs near 32–33°C, aligning with climatological baselines of approximately 31°C for the period. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine any minor shifts from local heating or boundary-layer effects ahead of the market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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