Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, with expected maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 10 centered around 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily highs typically average 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in Atlantic moisture advection, but no significant cooling or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping 28°C as the market consensus while allowing limited upside risk to 29°C if daytime heating exceeds projections. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 10. August?
28°C 50%
27°C 31%
29°C 19%
26°C 3%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
31%
28°C
50%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C oder höher
2%
28°C 50%
27°C 31%
29°C 19%
26°C 3%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
31%
28°C
50%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the region, with expected maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 10 centered around 28–29°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily highs typically average 27–30°C amid moderate humidity and minimal cloud cover. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in Atlantic moisture advection, but no significant cooling or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping 28°C as the market consensus while allowing limited upside risk to 29°C if daytime heating exceeds projections. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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