Current MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daily maximum near 14°C on August 10, with northerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a possible frontal passage. Trader positioning between the closely matched 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (38%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and any late southerly change that could limit daytime warming. Seasonal NIWA guidance indicates near-average winter temperatures for the region, consistent with climatological highs of 12–14°C, while model consensus on wind speed and radiative effects will determine whether readings reach or fall short of the 14°C threshold. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours should narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 10. August?
14°C 47%
13°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 4%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
38%
14°C
47%
15°C
15%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 38%
15°C 15%
12°C 4%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
7°C or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$173 Vol.
1%
12°C
$399 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,379 Vol.
38%
14°C
$840 Vol.
47%
15°C
$967 Vol.
15%
16°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daily maximum near 14°C on August 10, with northerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a possible frontal passage. Trader positioning between the closely matched 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (38%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and any late southerly change that could limit daytime warming. Seasonal NIWA guidance indicates near-average winter temperatures for the region, consistent with climatological highs of 12–14°C, while model consensus on wind speed and radiative effects will determine whether readings reach or fall short of the 14°C threshold. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours should narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,490Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daily maximum near 14°C on August 10, with northerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a possible frontal passage. Trader positioning between the closely matched 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (38%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and any late southerly change that could limit daytime warming. Seasonal NIWA guidance indicates near-average winter temperatures for the region, consistent with climatological highs of 12–14°C, while model consensus on wind speed and radiative effects will determine whether readings reach or fall short of the 14°C threshold. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours should narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,490Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService forecasts for Wellington project a daily maximum near 14°C on August 10, with northerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a possible frontal passage. Trader positioning between the closely matched 14°C (46.5%) and 13°C (38%) outcomes reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and any late southerly change that could limit daytime warming. Seasonal NIWA guidance indicates near-average winter temperatures for the region, consistent with climatological highs of 12–14°C, while model consensus on wind speed and radiative effects will determine whether readings reach or fall short of the 14°C threshold. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours should narrow the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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