Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum of 13–14°C on August 9, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge permitting mild northerly flow across the Cook Strait. In Southern Hemisphere winter, this pattern typically supports temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–14°C, with limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud and onshore winds. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, keeping 15°C or higher less likely while reinforcing 14°C as the consensus mode; any late-model shift toward stronger southwesterlies could trim odds for the upper outcomes. Traders are weighting these near-term runs heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 9. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 9. August?
14°C 60%
15°C 19%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
60%
15°C
19%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 60%
15°C 19%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$277 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,408 Vol.
17%
14°C
$492 Vol.
60%
15°C
$1,907 Vol.
19%
16°C
$169 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$242 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum of 13–14°C on August 9, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge permitting mild northerly flow across the Cook Strait. In Southern Hemisphere winter, this pattern typically supports temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–14°C, with limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud and onshore winds. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, keeping 15°C or higher less likely while reinforcing 14°C as the consensus mode; any late-model shift toward stronger southwesterlies could trim odds for the upper outcomes. Traders are weighting these near-term runs heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,285Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum of 13–14°C on August 9, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge permitting mild northerly flow across the Cook Strait. In Southern Hemisphere winter, this pattern typically supports temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–14°C, with limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud and onshore winds. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, keeping 15°C or higher less likely while reinforcing 14°C as the consensus mode; any late-model shift toward stronger southwesterlies could trim odds for the upper outcomes. Traders are weighting these near-term runs heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,285Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a daytime maximum of 13–14°C on August 9, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge permitting mild northerly flow across the Cook Strait. In Southern Hemisphere winter, this pattern typically supports temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal average of 12–14°C, with limited diurnal range due to persistent cloud and onshore winds. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, keeping 15°C or higher less likely while reinforcing 14°C as the consensus mode; any late-model shift toward stronger southwesterlies could trim odds for the upper outcomes. Traders are weighting these near-term runs heavily given the short lead time to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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