Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate peak temperatures in Munich near 31°C on August 11, driven by moderating high-pressure subsidence that supports strong daytime heating while increasing boundary-layer moisture and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% (31°C), 26.5% (32°C), and 22.5% (30°C), as traders incorporate ensemble spread from factors like local urban heat-island effects and minor frontal influences. Broader European heatwave patterns this summer provide climatological context, yet short-range updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service could shift probabilities if new data revise moisture or insolation projections ahead of the measurement window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 11. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 11. August?
31°C 39%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
23%
31°C
39%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 26%
30°C 23%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
11. Aug. 2026
27°C oder weniger
$53 Vol.
1%
28°C
$53 Vol.
1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
5%
30°C
$664 Vol.
23%
31°C
$262 Vol.
39%
32°C
$285 Vol.
26%
33°C
$70 Vol.
8%
34°C
$68 Vol.
3%
35°C
$33 Vol.
2%
36°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
37°C oder höher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate peak temperatures in Munich near 31°C on August 11, driven by moderating high-pressure subsidence that supports strong daytime heating while increasing boundary-layer moisture and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% (31°C), 26.5% (32°C), and 22.5% (30°C), as traders incorporate ensemble spread from factors like local urban heat-island effects and minor frontal influences. Broader European heatwave patterns this summer provide climatological context, yet short-range updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service could shift probabilities if new data revise moisture or insolation projections ahead of the measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,650Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate peak temperatures in Munich near 31°C on August 11, driven by moderating high-pressure subsidence that supports strong daytime heating while increasing boundary-layer moisture and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% (31°C), 26.5% (32°C), and 22.5% (30°C), as traders incorporate ensemble spread from factors like local urban heat-island effects and minor frontal influences. Broader European heatwave patterns this summer provide climatological context, yet short-range updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service could shift probabilities if new data revise moisture or insolation projections ahead of the measurement window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,650Enddatum
11. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers indicate peak temperatures in Munich near 31°C on August 11, driven by moderating high-pressure subsidence that supports strong daytime heating while increasing boundary-layer moisture and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent model runs show consensus around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% (31°C), 26.5% (32°C), and 22.5% (30°C), as traders incorporate ensemble spread from factors like local urban heat-island effects and minor frontal influences. Broader European heatwave patterns this summer provide climatological context, yet short-range updates from agencies such as the German Weather Service could shift probabilities if new data revise moisture or insolation projections ahead of the measurement window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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