Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 28–29°C on August 13, shaped by a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer warmth while scattered showers and sea-breeze effects cap peaks. Mid-August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C with high humidity, yet recent model runs show increased cloud cover and precipitation timing that could trim the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because traders weigh forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat-island amplification at the official observation site, and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 13. August?
29°C 29%
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
29%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
4%
27°C
$301 Vol.
18%
28°C
$47 Vol.
28%
29°C
$151 Vol.
29%
30°C
$44 Vol.
14%
31°C
$176 Vol.
6%
32°C
$227 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$1,165 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 28–29°C on August 13, shaped by a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer warmth while scattered showers and sea-breeze effects cap peaks. Mid-August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C with high humidity, yet recent model runs show increased cloud cover and precipitation timing that could trim the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because traders weigh forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat-island amplification at the official observation site, and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,755Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 28–29°C on August 13, shaped by a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer warmth while scattered showers and sea-breeze effects cap peaks. Mid-August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C with high humidity, yet recent model runs show increased cloud cover and precipitation timing that could trim the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because traders weigh forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat-island amplification at the official observation site, and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,755Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 28–29°C on August 13, shaped by a strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal summer warmth while scattered showers and sea-breeze effects cap peaks. Mid-August climatology features highs averaging 31–32°C with high humidity, yet recent model runs show increased cloud cover and precipitation timing that could trim the daily maximum by 2–3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 28–29°C because traders weigh forecast uncertainty ranges, urban heat-island amplification at the official observation site, and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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