Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 15 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, featuring high solar insolation, weak steering winds, and elevated humidity that limits overnight cooling. Afternoon thundershowers could cap the peak through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes at roughly equal implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical August maxima near 34–36°C reinforce this tight range, with final resolution depending on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity observed by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 15. August?
35°C 41%
36°C 39%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
$16,010 Vol.
$16,010 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
41%
36°C
39%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 41%
36°C 39%
34°C 10%
37°C 9%
$16,010 Vol.
$16,010 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
41%
36°C
39%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 15 under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, featuring high solar insolation, weak steering winds, and elevated humidity that limits overnight cooling. Afternoon thundershowers could cap the peak through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the leading 35°C and 36°C outcomes at roughly equal implied probabilities. Model consensus and historical August maxima near 34–36°C reinforce this tight range, with final resolution depending on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity observed by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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