Recent European heatwave conditions, with Paris highs reaching 33–38°C midweek, have elevated overnight minima through persistent warm air masses and limited radiative cooling under clear skies. A forecasted cooldown over the August 15–16 weekend, driven by increased cloud cover, possible thunderstorms, and a shift toward northerly flow, is positioning the daily minimum near 16–19°C according to model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF. This places 19°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while the 22% chance for 18°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and urban heat island effects. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing context for the current elevated but moderating outlook ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. August?
19°C 46%
18°C oder niedriger 23%
20°C 18%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
23%
19°C
46%
20°C
18%
21°C
10%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 46%
18°C oder niedriger 23%
20°C 18%
21°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$1,733 Vol.
23%
19°C
$906 Vol.
46%
20°C
$241 Vol.
18%
21°C
$592 Vol.
10%
22°C
$100 Vol.
3%
23°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$62 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with Paris highs reaching 33–38°C midweek, have elevated overnight minima through persistent warm air masses and limited radiative cooling under clear skies. A forecasted cooldown over the August 15–16 weekend, driven by increased cloud cover, possible thunderstorms, and a shift toward northerly flow, is positioning the daily minimum near 16–19°C according to model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF. This places 19°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while the 22% chance for 18°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and urban heat island effects. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing context for the current elevated but moderating outlook ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$3,993Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with Paris highs reaching 33–38°C midweek, have elevated overnight minima through persistent warm air masses and limited radiative cooling under clear skies. A forecasted cooldown over the August 15–16 weekend, driven by increased cloud cover, possible thunderstorms, and a shift toward northerly flow, is positioning the daily minimum near 16–19°C according to model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF. This places 19°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while the 22% chance for 18°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and urban heat island effects. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing context for the current elevated but moderating outlook ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,993Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heatwave conditions, with Paris highs reaching 33–38°C midweek, have elevated overnight minima through persistent warm air masses and limited radiative cooling under clear skies. A forecasted cooldown over the August 15–16 weekend, driven by increased cloud cover, possible thunderstorms, and a shift toward northerly flow, is positioning the daily minimum near 16–19°C according to model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF. This places 19°C as the leading market outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while the 22% chance for 18°C or below reflects uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and urban heat island effects. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, providing context for the current elevated but moderating outlook ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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