Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's expected overnight minimum near 25–26°C on August 17, with limited radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers that suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment closely splits between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 25–26°C, providing a baseline that reinforces current odds while leaving room for model revisions ahead of the China Meteorological Administration's daily updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 17. August?
26°C 47%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 9%
19°C oder weniger
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C
36%
26°C
47%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C oder höher
1%
26°C 47%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 9%
19°C oder weniger
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C
36%
26°C
47%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Shanghai's expected overnight minimum near 25–26°C on August 17, with limited radiative cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers that suppress temperature drops. Trader sentiment closely splits between these two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows of 25–26°C, providing a baseline that reinforces current odds while leaving room for model revisions ahead of the China Meteorological Administration's daily updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen