Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 16 likely falling between 25–26 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers moderating overnight cooling. Subtle differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer winds create the narrow spread captured by the near-even market odds on those two outcomes. Historical August lows average near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C this close to the event. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. August?
26°C 43%
25°C 41%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
7%
25°C
41%
26°C
43%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 41%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$52 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
6%
24°C
$61 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,558 Vol.
41%
26°C
$70 Vol.
43%
27°C
$36 Vol.
12%
28°C
$48 Vol.
3%
29°C
$47 Vol.
1%
30°C oder höher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 16 likely falling between 25–26 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers moderating overnight cooling. Subtle differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer winds create the narrow spread captured by the near-even market odds on those two outcomes. Historical August lows average near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C this close to the event. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,017Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 16 likely falling between 25–26 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers moderating overnight cooling. Subtle differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer winds create the narrow spread captured by the near-even market odds on those two outcomes. Historical August lows average near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C this close to the event. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,017Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 16 likely falling between 25–26 °C under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and scattered showers moderating overnight cooling. Subtle differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, and boundary-layer winds create the narrow spread captured by the near-even market odds on those two outcomes. Historical August lows average near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest model runs, which carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C this close to the event. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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