Recent showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong are moderating afternoon peaks ahead of August 14, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to a 27–33°C range and model consensus favoring highs near 31°C amid thundershower activity. Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin drove record heat near 37°C earlier in the month, but shifting steering patterns and higher rain chances are expected to limit extreme values. Climatologically, August daily highs average around 32°C with high humidity and frequent isolated convection; traders appear to weigh these factors alongside potential urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. August?
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
38%
32°C
27%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$367 Vol.
1%
29°C
$694 Vol.
7%
30°C
$393 Vol.
17%
31°C
$812 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,491 Vol.
27%
33°C
$195 Vol.
9%
34°C
$244 Vol.
4%
35°C
$202 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong are moderating afternoon peaks ahead of August 14, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to a 27–33°C range and model consensus favoring highs near 31°C amid thundershower activity. Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin drove record heat near 37°C earlier in the month, but shifting steering patterns and higher rain chances are expected to limit extreme values. Climatologically, August daily highs average around 32°C with high humidity and frequent isolated convection; traders appear to weigh these factors alongside potential urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,214Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong are moderating afternoon peaks ahead of August 14, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to a 27–33°C range and model consensus favoring highs near 31°C amid thundershower activity. Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin drove record heat near 37°C earlier in the month, but shifting steering patterns and higher rain chances are expected to limit extreme values. Climatologically, August daily highs average around 32°C with high humidity and frequent isolated convection; traders appear to weigh these factors alongside potential urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,214Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent showers and increased cloud cover over Hong Kong are moderating afternoon peaks ahead of August 14, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance pointing to a 27–33°C range and model consensus favoring highs near 31°C amid thundershower activity. Recent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin drove record heat near 37°C earlier in the month, but shifting steering patterns and higher rain chances are expected to limit extreme values. Climatologically, August daily highs average around 32°C with high humidity and frequent isolated convection; traders appear to weigh these factors alongside potential urban heat retention when assessing the narrow spread between 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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