Latest meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance, elevated humidity, and typical late-summer heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise suppress peaks, while historical August averages hover around 34°C with occasional excursions above 40°C during strong heatwaves. Differentiation between the closely matched leading outcomes depends on small variations in steering patterns, local wind speeds, or convective timing that could shift the observed high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data and any revised model runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 12. August?
36°C 40%
37°C 33%
35°C 15%
38°C 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
15%
36°C
40%
37°C
33%
38°C
7%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 33%
35°C 15%
38°C 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
31°C or below
$678 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$217 Vol.
1%
33°C
$692 Vol.
2%
34°C
$816 Vol.
5%
35°C
$380 Vol.
15%
36°C
$3,048 Vol.
40%
37°C
$1,062 Vol.
33%
38°C
$636 Vol.
7%
39°C
$378 Vol.
4%
40°C
$467 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$710 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance, elevated humidity, and typical late-summer heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise suppress peaks, while historical August averages hover around 34°C with occasional excursions above 40°C during strong heatwaves. Differentiation between the closely matched leading outcomes depends on small variations in steering patterns, local wind speeds, or convective timing that could shift the observed high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data and any revised model runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$9,085Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance, elevated humidity, and typical late-summer heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise suppress peaks, while historical August averages hover around 34°C with occasional excursions above 40°C during strong heatwaves. Differentiation between the closely matched leading outcomes depends on small variations in steering patterns, local wind speeds, or convective timing that could shift the observed high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data and any revised model runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,085Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 12, driven by subtropical high-pressure dominance, elevated humidity, and typical late-summer heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions align with recent model consensus showing limited cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise suppress peaks, while historical August averages hover around 34°C with occasional excursions above 40°C during strong heatwaves. Differentiation between the closely matched leading outcomes depends on small variations in steering patterns, local wind speeds, or convective timing that could shift the observed high by 1°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final observational data and any revised model runs from the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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