Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models drives the close trader consensus around 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%) as Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 12. Ensemble guidance from European centers highlights modest variations in boundary-layer heating, southerly warm-air advection beneath a building high-pressure ridge, and subtle differences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and diurnal sea-breeze timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. These outcomes exceed the long-term August average high near 21–22°C, reflecting an anomalously warm pattern. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the coming day will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 12. August?
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 10%
NEU
$11,669 Vol.
NEU
$11,669 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
38%
28°C
32%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
29°C 14%
26°C 10%
NEU
$11,669 Vol.
NEU
$11,669 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
23°C oder darunter
$452 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$537 Vol.
1%
25°C
$739 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,848 Vol.
10%
27°C
$765 Vol.
38%
28°C
$5,524 Vol.
32%
29°C
$1,376 Vol.
14%
30°C
$238 Vol.
4%
31°C
$104 Vol.
2%
32°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models drives the close trader consensus around 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%) as Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 12. Ensemble guidance from European centers highlights modest variations in boundary-layer heating, southerly warm-air advection beneath a building high-pressure ridge, and subtle differences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and diurnal sea-breeze timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. These outcomes exceed the long-term August average high near 21–22°C, reflecting an anomalously warm pattern. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the coming day will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$11,669Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models drives the close trader consensus around 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%) as Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 12. Ensemble guidance from European centers highlights modest variations in boundary-layer heating, southerly warm-air advection beneath a building high-pressure ridge, and subtle differences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and diurnal sea-breeze timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. These outcomes exceed the long-term August average high near 21–22°C, reflecting an anomalously warm pattern. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the coming day will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,669Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction models drives the close trader consensus around 27°C (36.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.5%) as Amsterdam’s peak temperature on August 12. Ensemble guidance from European centers highlights modest variations in boundary-layer heating, southerly warm-air advection beneath a building high-pressure ridge, and subtle differences in cloud cover, mixing depth, and diurnal sea-breeze timing that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. These outcomes exceed the long-term August average high near 21–22°C, reflecting an anomalously warm pattern. Fresh model runs and observational updates over the coming day will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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