**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s highest temperature on August 10 centers on the 30–32°C range (combined ~82% implied probability), driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a daily maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy conditions.** The strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to advect warm, moist air, keeping seasonal temperatures above the long-term August normal of 31.7°C. JMA’s August 8 update lists 33°C for August 9 and 32°C for August 10, with 40–50% rain chances that favor cloud cover and could modestly suppress peak heating relative to clearer days. Historical analogs and recent model runs support a most-likely peak of 30–32°C, with only low odds for 33°C+ or sub-30°C extremes given the stable synoptic pattern and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Updated JMA guidance and any short-term model shifts in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts traders will monitor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 10. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 10. August?
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
33°C 7%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
33°C 7%
NEU
NEU
10. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$462 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$100 Vol.
1%
28°C
$299 Vol.
2%
29°C
$207 Vol.
7%
30°C
$71 Vol.
24%
31°C
$108 Vol.
35%
32°C
$427 Vol.
22%
33°C
$294 Vol.
7%
34°C or higher
$99 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s highest temperature on August 10 centers on the 30–32°C range (combined ~82% implied probability), driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a daily maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy conditions.**
The strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to advect warm, moist air, keeping seasonal temperatures above the long-term August normal of 31.7°C. JMA’s August 8 update lists 33°C for August 9 and 32°C for August 10, with 40–50% rain chances that favor cloud cover and could modestly suppress peak heating relative to clearer days. Historical analogs and recent model runs support a most-likely peak of 30–32°C, with only low odds for 33°C+ or sub-30°C extremes given the stable synoptic pattern and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Updated JMA guidance and any short-term model shifts in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts traders will monitor.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,695Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s highest temperature on August 10 centers on the 30–32°C range (combined ~82% implied probability), driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a daily maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy conditions.**
The strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to advect warm, moist air, keeping seasonal temperatures above the long-term August normal of 31.7°C. JMA’s August 8 update lists 33°C for August 9 and 32°C for August 10, with 40–50% rain chances that favor cloud cover and could modestly suppress peak heating relative to clearer days. Historical analogs and recent model runs support a most-likely peak of 30–32°C, with only low odds for 33°C+ or sub-30°C extremes given the stable synoptic pattern and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Updated JMA guidance and any short-term model shifts in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts traders will monitor.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,695Enddatum
10. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tokyo’s highest temperature on August 10 centers on the 30–32°C range (combined ~82% implied probability), driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing a daily maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy conditions.** The strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to advect warm, moist air, keeping seasonal temperatures above the long-term August normal of 31.7°C. JMA’s August 8 update lists 33°C for August 9 and 32°C for August 10, with 40–50% rain chances that favor cloud cover and could modestly suppress peak heating relative to clearer days. Historical analogs and recent model runs support a most-likely peak of 30–32°C, with only low odds for 33°C+ or sub-30°C extremes given the stable synoptic pattern and limited day-to-day variability this close to the event. Updated JMA guidance and any short-term model shifts in the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts traders will monitor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen