Recent model consensus points to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Wuhan on August 12, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and weak steering flow that favors overcast conditions and reduced insolation. These factors cap daytime heating, shifting implied probabilities toward 28–30 °C rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 32 °C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from prior rainfall further limit surface temperature rises, while any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could briefly push readings into the low 30s. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest, but minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation keep the 28–30 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 12. August?
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$852 Vol.
4%
27°C
$688 Vol.
8%
28°C
$3,468 Vol.
20%
29°C
$686 Vol.
29%
30°C
$621 Vol.
23%
31°C
$497 Vol.
9%
32°C
$766 Vol.
4%
33°C
$685 Vol.
2%
34°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Wuhan on August 12, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and weak steering flow that favors overcast conditions and reduced insolation. These factors cap daytime heating, shifting implied probabilities toward 28–30 °C rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 32 °C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from prior rainfall further limit surface temperature rises, while any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could briefly push readings into the low 30s. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest, but minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation keep the 28–30 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$8,658Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Wuhan on August 12, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and weak steering flow that favors overcast conditions and reduced insolation. These factors cap daytime heating, shifting implied probabilities toward 28–30 °C rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 32 °C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from prior rainfall further limit surface temperature rises, while any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could briefly push readings into the low 30s. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest, but minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation keep the 28–30 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,658Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers over Wuhan on August 12, driven by a strengthening monsoon trough and weak steering flow that favors overcast conditions and reduced insolation. These factors cap daytime heating, shifting implied probabilities toward 28–30 °C rather than the seasonal climatological peak near 32 °C. High humidity and evaporative cooling from prior rainfall further limit surface temperature rises, while any late-day clearing or stronger southerly advection could briefly push readings into the low 30s. Short-range ensemble spreads remain modest, but minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation keep the 28–30 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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