Current forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern France driving a mid-August heatwave, with Paris daytime highs expected to peak near 37–39°C on August 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from 33–36°C earlier in the week, positioning 38°C and 39°C as the dominant trader consensus outcomes at 29.5% and 41.5% implied probability. These align with climatological August extremes and the current elevated baseline from 2026 European heat patterns, though slight forecast shifts in timing or localized cooling could favor adjacent bins. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 14. August?
39°C 42%
38°C 29%
40°C 12%
37°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
7%
38°C
29%
39°C
42%
40°C
12%
41°C
4%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 42%
38°C 29%
40°C 12%
37°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
35°C or below
$12 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
7%
38°C
$55 Vol.
29%
39°C
$63 Vol.
42%
40°C
$0 Vol.
12%
41°C
$0 Vol.
4%
42°C
$33 Vol.
1%
43°C
$12 Vol.
1%
44°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern France driving a mid-August heatwave, with Paris daytime highs expected to peak near 37–39°C on August 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from 33–36°C earlier in the week, positioning 38°C and 39°C as the dominant trader consensus outcomes at 29.5% and 41.5% implied probability. These align with climatological August extremes and the current elevated baseline from 2026 European heat patterns, though slight forecast shifts in timing or localized cooling could favor adjacent bins. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$215Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern France driving a mid-August heatwave, with Paris daytime highs expected to peak near 37–39°C on August 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from 33–36°C earlier in the week, positioning 38°C and 39°C as the dominant trader consensus outcomes at 29.5% and 41.5% implied probability. These align with climatological August extremes and the current elevated baseline from 2026 European heat patterns, though slight forecast shifts in timing or localized cooling could favor adjacent bins. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$215Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Meteo-France and European models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern France driving a mid-August heatwave, with Paris daytime highs expected to peak near 37–39°C on August 14 under mostly clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover that enhances solar heating. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from 33–36°C earlier in the week, positioning 38°C and 39°C as the dominant trader consensus outcomes at 29.5% and 41.5% implied probability. These align with climatological August extremes and the current elevated baseline from 2026 European heat patterns, though slight forecast shifts in timing or localized cooling could favor adjacent bins. Upcoming updates from official agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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