Recent European heat dome conditions and persistent high pressure have driven above-average temperatures across the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 14 maximum near 32–34 °C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance. Subsidence warming, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow from continental air masses support the tight clustering around 33–34 °C, while coastal sea-breeze moderation and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that keeps 32 °C and 35 °C within reach. Updated short-range runs and observational trends from the prior 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. August?
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
28°C oder darunter
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
28°C oder darunter
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heat dome conditions and persistent high pressure have driven above-average temperatures across the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 14 maximum near 32–34 °C according to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble guidance. Subsidence warming, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow from continental air masses support the tight clustering around 33–34 °C, while coastal sea-breeze moderation and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty that keeps 32 °C and 35 °C within reach. Updated short-range runs and observational trends from the prior 48 hours will likely narrow resolution thresholds before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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