Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a peak of 32°C for London on August 14 under continued high-pressure subsidence and clear skies, though ensemble runs show potential for 33–34°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds that limit cooling, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where central London stations have already approached or exceeded 34°C on preceding days. The tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in daytime maximum timing, exact station readings (typically London City Airport or Heathrow), and any late-day sea-breeze moderation from the Thames estuary. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 14. August?
33°C 35%
32°C 34%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
17%
32°C
34%
33°C
35%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 34%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
17%
32°C
34%
33°C
35%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a peak of 32°C for London on August 14 under continued high-pressure subsidence and clear skies, though ensemble runs show potential for 33–34°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention. Model consensus points to minimal cloud cover and light winds that limit cooling, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where central London stations have already approached or exceeded 34°C on preceding days. The tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C reflects small but meaningful uncertainties in daytime maximum timing, exact station readings (typically London City Airport or Heathrow), and any late-day sea-breeze moderation from the Thames estuary. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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