Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. August?
33°C 41%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
41%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
41%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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