Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overcast skies and light rain or showers for Wuhan on August 14, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer average of 31–33°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes at combined 61.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing incoming solar radiation, enhanced moisture advection from regional monsoon flows, and variable steering patterns that could shift the exact timing of any clearing. Model runs show modest spread in maximum values depending on precipitation intensity and wind, with historical analogs of similar August setups often resolving 1–2°C cooler than clear-sky baselines. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 14. August?
29°C 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 11%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
23%
28°C
29%
29°C
32%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C oder höher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 11%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$232 Vol.
1%
25°C
$7 Vol.
3%
26°C
$82 Vol.
11%
27°C
$18 Vol.
23%
28°C
$19 Vol.
29%
29°C
$22 Vol.
32%
30°C
$62 Vol.
8%
31°C
$42 Vol.
2%
32°C
$30 Vol.
1%
33°C
$12 Vol.
1%
34°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overcast skies and light rain or showers for Wuhan on August 14, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer average of 31–33°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes at combined 61.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing incoming solar radiation, enhanced moisture advection from regional monsoon flows, and variable steering patterns that could shift the exact timing of any clearing. Model runs show modest spread in maximum values depending on precipitation intensity and wind, with historical analogs of similar August setups often resolving 1–2°C cooler than clear-sky baselines. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$536Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overcast skies and light rain or showers for Wuhan on August 14, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer average of 31–33°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes at combined 61.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing incoming solar radiation, enhanced moisture advection from regional monsoon flows, and variable steering patterns that could shift the exact timing of any clearing. Model runs show modest spread in maximum values depending on precipitation intensity and wind, with historical analogs of similar August setups often resolving 1–2°C cooler than clear-sky baselines. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$536Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate overcast skies and light rain or showers for Wuhan on August 14, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer average of 31–33°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes at combined 61.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing incoming solar radiation, enhanced moisture advection from regional monsoon flows, and variable steering patterns that could shift the exact timing of any clearing. Model runs show modest spread in maximum values depending on precipitation intensity and wind, with historical analogs of similar August setups often resolving 1–2°C cooler than clear-sky baselines. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen