Recent short-term forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on August 14, moderating peak radiative heating and holding Tokyo's daily maximum near 28–29 °C. The strengthening Pacific High continues to advect warm, humid maritime air northward, sustaining urban heat-island amplification, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection are expected to cap extremes below historical mid-August averages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with slight downward revisions in the latest runs reflecting greater moisture and reduced insolation. Traders weigh these variables against typical climatological highs near 31 °C when assessing resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. August?
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$74 Vol.
3%
26°C
$27 Vol.
7%
27°C
$71 Vol.
22%
28°C
$183 Vol.
23%
29°C
$78 Vol.
32%
30°C
$30 Vol.
13%
31°C
$17 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on August 14, moderating peak radiative heating and holding Tokyo's daily maximum near 28–29 °C. The strengthening Pacific High continues to advect warm, humid maritime air northward, sustaining urban heat-island amplification, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection are expected to cap extremes below historical mid-August averages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with slight downward revisions in the latest runs reflecting greater moisture and reduced insolation. Traders weigh these variables against typical climatological highs near 31 °C when assessing resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$885Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on August 14, moderating peak radiative heating and holding Tokyo's daily maximum near 28–29 °C. The strengthening Pacific High continues to advect warm, humid maritime air northward, sustaining urban heat-island amplification, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection are expected to cap extremes below historical mid-August averages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with slight downward revisions in the latest runs reflecting greater moisture and reduced insolation. Traders weigh these variables against typical climatological highs near 31 °C when assessing resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$885Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms on August 14, moderating peak radiative heating and holding Tokyo's daily maximum near 28–29 °C. The strengthening Pacific High continues to advect warm, humid maritime air northward, sustaining urban heat-island amplification, yet increased cloud cover and potential afternoon convection are expected to cap extremes below historical mid-August averages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with slight downward revisions in the latest runs reflecting greater moisture and reduced insolation. Traders weigh these variables against typical climatological highs near 31 °C when assessing resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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